Tropical Storm Ike

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    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 102100
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 39
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
    400 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2008


    ...WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST...


    AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
    FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WESTWARD TO CAMERON
    LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.


    AT 4 PM CDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAMERON
    WESTWARD TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY FRIDAY.


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF KEY WEST TO
    THE DRY TORTUGAS.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


    AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 720 MILES...1155
    KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS AND ABOUT 370 MILES...590 KM...
    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.


    IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN
    BACK TO A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND
    A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION THROUGH THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
    GULF OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
    IKE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.


    IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM.


    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.


    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COASTS OF CUBA AND IN THE
    FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT. COASTAL STORM
    SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH
    LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING AREA. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ARE EXPECTED
    ELSEWHERE ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTH COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
    DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT WILL BE INCREASING ALONG THE
    WESTERN GULF COAST AS IKE APPROACHES.


    IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
    INCHES OVER WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
    20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS
    TERRAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME
    SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND OVER THE EXTREME NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.


    REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...24.5 N...86.1 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.


    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
    PM CDT.


    $$
    FORECASTER FRANKLIN

    Hier das neueste von unserem Freund Ike:




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    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 111449
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 42
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
    1000 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008


    ...IKE CONTINUES TO GROW IN SIZE BUT HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...
    ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST...


    AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
    MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS
    COULD REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY LATE FRIDAY.


    AT 10 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH
    OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS
    IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY
    TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
    ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


    AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES...
    930 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES
    ...760 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.


    IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
    GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
    SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST BY LATE
    FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
    CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
    THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
    IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
    COASTLINE.


    IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
    EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM.


    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
    HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
    LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
    EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
    LANDFALL. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE
    EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN
    GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
    GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG
    THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
    LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    YUCATAN PENINSULA.


    REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...25.5 N...88.4 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.


    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
    PM CDT.


    $$
    FORECASTER FRANKLIN



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    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 121150
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 45A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
    700 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008


    ...LARGE AND DANGEROUS HURRICANE IKE APPROACHING THE UPPER TEXAS
    COAST...


    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
    BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
    COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AN PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
    COMPLETION.


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO
    PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
    FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


    AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...585
    KM...EAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...
    SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.


    IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
    CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY
    OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
    CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE TODAY...LONG
    BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.


    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
    HOURS...AND IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE THE
    CENTER REACHES THE COAST.


    IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
    EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM.
    AN OIL PLATFORM IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO RECENTLY
    REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 109 MPH...176 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF
    400 FEET.


    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.


    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
    LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
    EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
    LANDFALL...EXTENDING A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER
    DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. SURGE FLOODING OF UP
    TO 25 FEET...AND POSSIBLY HIGHER...COULD OCCUR AT THE HEADS OF BAYS.
    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
    LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
    WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
    GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.


    IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
    EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.


    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
    LOUISIANA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
    POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND
    SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.


    REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...26.9 N...92.2 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB.


    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    1000 AM CDT.


    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA

    Galveston in Texas steht schon 2m unter Wasser und der Hurricane hatte noch nicht mal Landfall,die Behoerden befuerchten das schlimmste,da kann man fuer die Menschen dort nur das beste hoffen. Ich hab grad Live Bilder in den Nachrichten gesehen und kann nur sagen das sieht maechtig gefaehrlich aus. Ike ist gerade Kat 2 koennte aber vor Landfall noch Kat3 werden, dieser Sturm ist ein Monster :!::!::!:


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    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 130236
    TCPAT4
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 48
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
    1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008


    ...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES ITS TREK TOWARD GALVESTON ISLAND
    AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...
    ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ON GALVESTON ISLAND...


    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
    NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
    REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
    PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
    FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
    INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


    AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...
    85 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES...150
    KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.


    IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
    NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
    TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
    EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
    IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY
    EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.


    DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
    INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...
    WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY
    THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. STRONGER WINDS...
    AS MUCH AS 30 MPH HIGHER THAN AT THE SURFACE...COULD OCCUR ON HIGH
    RISE BUILDINGS.


    IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. DURING
    THE PAST HOUR...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON
    GALVESTON ISLAND AND REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
    AIRCRAFT INDICATE SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE JUST OFFSHORE
    GALVESTON ISLAND.


    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.


    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
    IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
    BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
    CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
    USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
    CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE
    NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.


    DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
    SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.


    IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
    EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.


    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS
    OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
    LOUISIANA.


    REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...28.6 N...94.4 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.


    INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 1200 AM CDT AND 200 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
    ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT.


    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART/READ